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On the question of the future orientation of the Japa¬
nese Foreiicn Policy, it should be first undersitod, and the econo=
mic facts bear it out, that Javan is weli on the road back to
become a great power, The Japanese re-armament, which is going to
go on very gradually, will find that country in a relatively short
time in A position of great military weight, Consequently it shoul
be understood, that Japan will not become the Satellite of anyone
but will male a2 policy of ats om interestse this policy is furtger

and in other Pacific areas the Japanese prestige is still veryy
higni Many Asiatics still consider the Japanese as their logical
leaders, Despite thisy the Japanese will instinctively try to
follow a policy friendly to the West, They feel, that this is their
best safeguard from Russia, provided the West shows a mininum of

that they can achieve a paramount position only in close ALijanee
with the West, especially at a time, when China, hitherto Amerie
cats Tfavoutite, is going all-out on the other side, This is the

selection to be Secretary of State would be considered as a favour
rable omen in Tokyo, The Japanese also realize, that they can not

stay neutral in the USA - USSR conflict, anc they are ready to 5
take their part, éspecialiy if their participation makes for them

the possibility to recuperate certain outlets for their population,
Dut while these trends are so, it shoyid not be forgotten, hat
Lev

there can be but one basic motive to Japan! s forcign policy $ the
pressure of the population and the need to find an economic and

fore, Japan will have to join the side which gives it more hope ..¬
to feed its pomilation, Japanese will. prefer the West, if the West
does not close all avenues of expansion before the nation ; it wild [|
have to go with the East, if this proves, to be the oniy solution cat
to the fecdine problem of its population, Ít is hence clear, that j
the key to Japen's future attitude is.more in the hands of the
Western Chencelieries then in the one of the Tokyo Foreimm Offices
- . hmá in this connection one more point must be mentioned $
the loss of the! Ryukyu Island and of the Bonin Islands is a grave.
blow to Japan, It is a Zife-or-death question for many peaple 4
It is an issue on which America's profegsion's of democracy and —
justice will/be tested America, wealthy, powerful and having vast
colonies a den be opt area necds not these Islandse\ The base

in Okinawa ‘den be kept anyhow by the Americans, Hence it seems ‘to
this observe\, that not a single mive jof policy in the\Par Bast. ¬
could have a ore beneficial effect for the Westy than \a noble

gesture by the, oo to initiatb the return of these islends _
to Japan, The, ¢ividends in good wili would coals exeega the West's

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